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Ogres, Orks, Obakes and Offsets

4/30/2023

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What do these four things have in common?  They are entirely mythical.  They simply don't exist in reality.

This article caught my eye this week.  Google is partnering up with EDPR to build "community solar" that will power Google's gigantic data center power suck.  Except they won't.  The new solar projects won't provide power to Google data centers.  They will simply "offset" Google's enormous thirst for electricity supplied by coal and gas-fired power plants.  After all, if Google actually powered its data centers with solar, you wouldn't be able to use Google after dark, and everything would be erased by dawn each morning.  Instead, Google uses good old reliable fossil fuel burning electricity and activates its climate guilt to build renewables somewhere else for someone else to use.

It's a scheme that has been around for awhile.  Years ago, I investigated "renewable energy credits", or RECs to find out that they aren't actually energy at all.  While renewable generators provide and sell power to actual customers, they also sell RECs.  A REC is the social and environmental attributes of renewable power.  It is a completely separate product that is bought and sold, although it doesn't actually exist.  A REC is mythical, just like an offset.  An offset pretends that a power customer like Google can "offset" its carbon footprint by producing enough renewable power to match its use of fossil fuel power.  They believe if they produce as much power as they use then it negates their use of power.  Someone else's use of that power is supposed to substitute for that person's use of dirty power.  Except does it really?  If Google cannot rely on solar power 24/7, can anyone else?  Of course not.  We all use power 24/7.  This is starting to sound like a pyramid scheme where other people get stuck using unreliable renewable power 24/7 while Google uses all the good, reliable stuff without guilt because it has "offsets."

This is pure nonsense!

Sure, giving away money generated by the sale of community solar power is all Robin Hood-ish.  But would the community solar actually benefit the community in which it was sited if that community did not meet the financial qualifications?  Or is Google going to build these community solar projects in rural areas and give the profits to energy users in urban areas that qualify?  It's all so much fairy tale fantasy.

Ditto on the idea that overbuilding of renewables and connecting them all by overbuilding transmission can somehow make up for renewable power's unreliable intermittency.  But yet the political minions claim this to be so because it all works out on average.  Average.  A math problem.  If we have this much renewable power, and it has an average capacity factor of 30%, then if we build 70% more than we actually need that will create a 100% capacity factor. 

Capacity factor is the percentage of a power plant's maximum capacity that is actually produced.  Power plants cycle up and cycle down to follow load.  They don't run at their full capacity all the time.  However, renewable generators cycle up and cycle down at the whim of nature and load is supposed to follow them.  There's the difference.

Presuming that a region with lots of intermittent renewable power can "borrow" from its neighboring region when it doesn't have enough power doesn't work because its not a math problem.  It's reality.  What if the neighboring region is also experiencing inadequate generation?  Night is long, and an hour's time difference isn't going to cover it.  Say the sun sets in the Pacific at 9:00 p.m., and the sun rises over the Atlantic at 6 a.m.  There's a three hour time difference, so the Pacific solar generation ends at midnight Atlantic time.  It's still 6 hours before the sun rises there. 

Battery power, you say?  But we don't have the technology to store electricity for long periods of time, batteries are very expensive, and they come with their own environmental burdens.  Not a solution.

We have not found the "clean power" silver bullet.  It's not wind + solar + transmission.  However, saying it is makes certain people and certain companies very, very rich.  What a bunch of patsies!  Making crap up for the sake of political and financial gain is never going to stop.  However, we can all get a lot smarter and stop believing it.

When the power flickers on and off in the middle of the night, I used to think it was an equipment failure somewhere, roll over, and go back to sleep.  Now when it happens, I feel compelled to get out of bed to check my phone to make sure the grid hasn't crashed in a spectacular way before I can relax enough to go back to sleep.  Welcome to the land of Ogres, Orks, Obakes and Offsets.
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Omission Creates Fantasy in Kansas

3/20/2023

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No surprise that the Kansas Corporation Commission is still having vanilla panna cotta in bed with Grain Belt Express owner Invenergy.  In an application to make its permit less restrictive, Invenergy says:
Grain Belt Express has kept Staff apprised of the updates that are the subject of this Motion, including as recently as March 1, 2023.
Of course they have.  Invenergy needs to keep feeding and petting the KCC so it will continue to be Invenergy's lapdog.  Only a lapdog would believe that having private property taken via eminent domain to build a dangerous, ugly, obstructive high-voltage transmission line across private property somehow "protects landowners."  Invenergy says the most outrageous stuff that nobody with an I.Q. above 70 would believe.  And KCC continues to lap it up and beg for more.  Get this:
How will the Amended Financing Requirement protect landowners?

The Amended Financing Requirement will prevent any possibility that Grain Belt Express begins construction of the Project and installs structures on easements but later abandons them because of insufficient funds to complete the Project.
KCC can "protect" landowners by making sure they are harmed by GBE.  It completely skips over the harm from the project itself to purport that finishing the project is better than not finishing it.  That's a conclusion, not a fact backed up by evidence.  But read a little further to find out who KCC would really be protecting:  Investors and lenders.  And "customers," as if GBE actually had real customers.

When the KCC approved GBE way back in 2013, it placed several conditions on its approval.  Since then, Invenergy has systematically demolished the conditions that were designed to protect the citizens of Kansas.  First, the KCC removed the sunset condition that required GBE to exercise its permit by a certain date or reapply.  This put landowners into a never-ending limbo of not knowing what could happen to their property in the future.  It also may have locked some into compensation at yesterday's low real estate prices for easements that haven't actually been paid for yet.  It's like someone agreeing to buy your property in 1980 at 1980 prices, but not bothering to actually pay you for it until 2020.  We can all agree that allowing the permit to exist in perpetuity does not protect landowners, but yet the KCC lapdogs barked their approval.

Now it's the financing condition.  The original permit contained a condition that GBE have sufficient financing for the entirety of the project before beginning construction.  But now GBE wants to split the project into two phases and only provide proof of financing for part of the project.  Of course, this does not meet the condition so Invenergy has proposed throwing that out the window.

But, maybe the worst part of this is the lies by omission the GBE witness perpetrates in his testimony.  In Sane's testimony says that all the reasons KCC approved GBE are "still valid."  How would he know?  He's an investment banker, not a transmission engineer.  This is his first electric transmission rodeo.  He knows less than you do about transmission.  But maybe not less than the KCC lapdogs. 

In Sane's testimony, he says that the earliest the project could begin construction is the end of 2024.  He pretends that's due to more work needing to be done on engineering, component acquisition, land acquisition, road crossing agreements, and "environmental permitting."  What's that, exactly?  He doesn't actually say... like it's not important why GBE is going through environmental permitting at this point, and why it can't begin construction until late 2024.  I bet YOU know why, but do the KCC lapdogs??

How about this whopper?
Constructing the Project in two phases is in the public interest of Kansas because it will allow the benefits of Phase I to accrue much earlier than would otherwise be possible. The regulatory approval process in Illinois had been subject to extensive delays because of now resolved appeals of the ICC’s 2015 decision to grant a CPCN to Grain Belt Express Clean Line LLC in ICC Docket 15-0277.
There were no delays in Illinois except those Invenergy created.  The appeals of the ICC's 2015 decision were finalized in 2018.  GBE could have refiled at any time since then.  "Now resolved?"  It's been resolved for 5 years!  The big hold up was schmoozing the Illinois legislature enough to pass unconstitutional special purpose legislation that inappropriately deemed GBE a "public use" and required the ICC to approve GBE, without the taking of evidence.  Only after changing Illinois laws did Invenergy reapply.  All delays were of Invenergy's own making, therefore this isn't a reason for two phases.

And then there's this:
Grain Belt Express will use project financing as previously approved in this Docket. As a reminder, after advancing development and permitting activities to a status at which developers of wind and solar generation facilities and other potential customers of the transmission line are willing to enter into commercial agreements for an undivided interest (purchase or lease) or long-term contracts for transmission capacity on the Project, Grain Belt Express will enter such contracts with interested parties that satisfy necessary creditworthiness requirements. Grain Belt Express will then raise debt capital using the aforementioned contracts as security for the debt. Grain Belt Express may also raise additional equity capital.
In addition to obtaining state regulatory approvals, Grain Belt Express will need to enter contracts for a portion of the transmission capacity on each Phase prior to obtaining full financial commitments for the Project. The exact percentage of capacity that needs to be under contract prior to obtaining full financing commitments for each Phase will depend on the price, counterparty creditworthiness and terms in years of the signed transmission contracts.
That's right... Grain Belt Express would need customers before a financial institution lends it money to build the project.
Phase I being independently economically viable ensures that Phase I will be completed. Phase I is independently economically viable because, upon completion, it will be operational and capable of delivering power into Missouri. As described above, Phase I will be capable of delivering power into Missouri via its interconnections with the MISO system along the Ameren 345 kV AC transmission line connecting the McCredie substation and the Montgomery substation and with the AECI system at the McCredie 345 kV substation. Not only do these circumstances ensure that Phase I will be completed, they also ensure that Phase I by itself will allow large amounts of renewable energy to be built in southwest Kansas and to access the MISO markets and AECI system and compete to serve customer load without impacting Kansas ratepayers.
But where are the customers, Invenergy?  It won't actually be delivering any power anywhere if Invenergy doesn't get more customers in Missouri.  It only has customers for up to 200 MW of its 2500 MW offering in Missouri.  Without customers, there's no need to build generators in Kansas.  That is NOT "economically viable."

And that trail of awkward claims leads to perhaps the biggest omission in this whole thing.

Where's the information about the unsecured multi-billion dollar loan from the U.S. Department of Energy?  Although the DOE has already determined that GBE "qualifies" for this loan even though it doesn't have enough customers to repay the loan (cough*Solyndra*cough), DOE has started an Environmental Impact Statement that won't be complete until at least the end of 2024.  That seems to be missing from this filing entirely.  Don't tell me it wasn't in Sane's testimony because he "forgot."  It was omitted for a reason.

Proof of financing without proof of customers means exactly what the KCC's conditions were trying to prevent... a half-finished project that never becomes operational.  If the U.S. DOE gives GBE billions of dollars to build, but GBE never does find any customers, then the line will never be operational.  GBE could abandon the project at any time and walk away from the whole mess.

If KCC thinks removing the financing condition "protects" Kansans, it has another think coming.  Removing this condition actually increases the risk that GBE will be abandoned as a half-finished mess.  Perhaps the KCC needs to think of new conditions that actually protect Kansans, like requiring GBE to have customers for its entire 2500 MW offering in Missouri for Phase I, and customers for the entire 5000 MW offering for Phase II.  Only paying customers can assure GBE will become operational.
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Smells Like Propaganda

3/6/2023

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Propaganda rag Bloomberg article about four long-stalled transmission projects, including Grain Belt Express, that the reporters claim are "inching ahead."  Ahead of what?  These projects have been bumping around for more than a decade without success.  Only one is actually being built, and that's the one buried on existing rights of way and underwater.  Coincidence?  I think not.

But that's not the stinkiest part.  The propaganda oozing from this article claims:
The fact these long-in-the-works projects are reaching similar milestones appears to be coincidence; no single policy is moving them forward. They are, however, advancing at a time of increasing understanding by local communities and even traditional opponents — including some conservation groups — of the need to move clean energy from rural outposts and to build more durable electric systems after a series of weather and climatic events have felled grids in recent years.
Who are these "communities" and "traditional opponents"?  Doesn't say, but it also "includes conservation groups" so perhaps we have our culprit right there.  Conservation groups are pretending they speak for landowners. Conservation groups like Sierra Club and all those other big green organizations that like to intervene in state siting and permitting proceedings to support the destruction of your community and property.  They speak for you about as much as former Missouri Governor Jay Nixon did when he negotiated "landowner protections" on your behalf without consulting you.  Now you've got posturing, sanctimonious swamp creatures claiming that you "understand" how you must sacrifice your home to the Gods of Climate Change that they worship.

Nobody affected by new above-ground transmission rights-of-way taken under threat of eminent domain "understands" this  idiocy.  That's a bold-faced LIE designed to make the hoi polloi believe that you don't mind being thrown under the wheels of the "clean energy" bus that they're driving so that they can all cheer about how they have saved the planet (that was never in any actual danger).  This is gas  lighting.  This is mainstream media propaganda.

These reporters also doesn't realize that what has "felled grids" in recent years is the retirement of baseload coal and gas electric generators and a failing attempt to replace them with intermittent industrial wind and solar generators.  It's not the weather.  It's the generation sources.  See how they did that?  "Not enough power?  Build more wind and solar and transmission lines!"  When their agenda causes a problem, they pretend you need to continue with their agenda to solve the problem that's being created.  They are doubling-down on the cause of the problem instead of finding a solution.  What is it going to take to stop this craziness?  Do we have to wait for these low-information fools to crash the grid?

Tell the reporters they are quite mistaken in their unsupported presumption.  We do care and we will continue to resist.
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Repeating Big Mistakes

3/3/2023

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What happens when we erase history?  We don't learn from it.  And when we don't learn from history, we repeat the same mistakes over and over, like a dog chasing his own tail.
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I've written about this over and over during the past decade... entities with horrible ideas seem to think if they can present manipulated polls to idiotic elected officials and the uninformed masses that they can suppress any opposition to their stupid idea.  In fact, these push polls rely on the reality that the masses are uninformed about many, many things.  Case in point:  electric transmission.

This "new" poll blares that Voters support building electric power transmission infrastructure... in their own communities!
Not really.  The last pollsters who made a similar claim had to roll it back with something closer to the truth:
Polling indicates the public’s feelings about a number of various topics on any given day. But it can also be misleading if viewed out of context — especially when it comes to land use issues.

How is it, for example, that most Americans support wind energy in general, but emotive opponents can block transmission lines delivery wind energy or wind farms in some local communities?

So, the jury’s in, right? Everyone loves renewable energy projects. But wait.

But the emotional opposition appears to fly in the face of surveys and polls showing national support for clean energy generation and transmission. What’s going on? Do these polls and surveys lack credibility? No. In fact, they are spot-on in terms of reflecting how Americans feel about renewable generation and distribution projects and how they may positively impact our communities given the perceived global threats of climate change, greenhouse gases and negative impact to wildlife over time. Today, based on a solid campaign by climate change advocates, the renewable energy industry, the current Obama administration and constant media pounding, the threat to our economy and the environment posed by carbon-emitting generation sources is very real and frankly easy to grasp. The arguments have been made and, let’s face it, many Americans are buying in.

But it’s easy to support a wind energy project without a real wind turbine or transmission line literally staring you in the face. That’s where rational thinking ends and passionate “defense of the community” (or defense of the children for that matter) campaigns begin.

...shop for a home in a community of interest and share the rumor of a new 765 kV transmission line going across the property down the road, in front of the view of the mountain range. What’s the survey say then? Chances are you may not find majority support, even from residents who responded in the poll you fielded yesterday.

Perhaps at best, polling identifies the size of the silent majority you have on your side when they are under no local threat of changing their daily lives. Winning hearts and minds in a poll won’t necessarily win you a permit at town hall.

Renewable energy is great in our public opinion, just not when it gets in the way of our personal point of view.
These are the actual words of the PR geeks who did a poll about wind turbines and transmission lines circa 2009.  Sadly, this PR shop seems to have gone out of business and the evidence has been removed.  Maybe that's why some new PR shop has attempted to essentially re-invent this wheel? 

Here's the facts:  People willing to take telephone surveys will say whatever they think signals their virtuous nature, or repeat canned political talking points they have adopted without critical thought.  Sure, renewables are supposed to be good and we are virtuous if we like them.  Therefore, the polled will say they support this crap, even "in their community."  Of course "the community" doesn't include THEIR back yard or any place within sight of THEIR castle, it's supposed to happen to someone else, some place else.  When it happens in their own back yard (a question the pollster conveniently forgot to ask) it's not such a good idea after all.  In fact, it's horrible.  Not one person actually faced with a transmission line in their back yard has ever supported it, no matter what it's carrying.

And those questions about whether "voters" support speeding up transmission by giving authority to the federal government?  They contain presumptions that are not facts (such as the notion that giving authority to the federal government could speed ANYTHING up!) in order to steer the response in their desired direction.

I don't see the words "federal eminent domain" used anywhere in these questions, although that's the goal of federal permitting authority.  What if you asked people if they would support federal government authority to use eminent domain to condemn land in their back yard and use it to construct new high voltage transmission lines?  They are asking a question based on limited information.  When full information is provided, the response changes dramatically.

THIS POLL IS GARBAGE!
Of course, this poll isn't for us.  It's for our elected officials, who would have to make legislative changes to remove state authority over electric transmission in its entirety.  They have already made changes in the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act that allows the federal government to give itself authority over any transmission project that can be dreamed up.  They just have to work for it a bit.  What's the point of this anyhow?  It's just more trash aka "inflation reduction" that doesn't actually reduce inflation but makes it worse through more outrageous government spending.  Tell your elected officials today that you do not support "permitting reform."
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Grain Belt Express Has No Approved Rate...

2/8/2023

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...and other fairy tales from Invenergy's clueless Vice President of Transmission.  Why does he talk so much?

I watched this a couple weeks ago.
It's a virtual "public meeting" on the Grain Belt Express Environmental Impact Statement required by the U.S. Department of Energy in order to evaluate Invenergy's application for a taxpayer loan to build its project that doesn't have enough customers to be economic.

Since it's inception, Grain Belt Express has been proposed as a merchant transmission project.  That means that it has not been approved or ordered by regional grid planners who allocate the costs of their projects among captive ratepayers that use the project.  A merchant project is an extraneous transmission proposal for which there is no actual demand or need but that its owners want to risk their own cash to build it in the hope that it will attract voluntary customers who find it useful.

There are two distinct transmission rate schemes:
  1. Regionally planned and cost allocated to captive ratepayers and paid for in their electric bill.
  2. Merchant projects with Negotiated Rate Authority granted by FERC that sign contracts with voluntary wholesale customers that pay a contracted rate to use the project.
There is no third rate scheme, just those two.  Anything else is a privately owned and operated line that is not offered for public use and its owners pay for the project themselves.  No public use, no public utility, no eminent domain, no rate, remember that.

So what happened when Brad from Invenergy got a question asking to explain merchant transmission and whether or not Grain Belt Express was a merchant project at 1:09:30 of the above video? 
Grain Belt Express is exploring various different ways for the energy to be transmitted across the lines that we're proposing to build here.  It's not finalized.
What?  Grain Belt Express no longer considers itself a merchant transmission project?  Grain Belt has been "finalized" as a merchant for years, and its state approvals are premised upon it being a merchant project offered for public use at Negotiated Rates.  As a matter of fact, FERC approved Negotiated Rate Authority for Grain Belt way back in 2014.  But now, all of a sudden, its rate is no longer certain.  So what are the other options?

Regionally approved and cost allocated?  This is never going to happen.  The regional transmission organization carefully plans the system it needs and then approves and orders it to be built.  It doesn't go around searching for merchant transmission projects to allocate to ratepayers, especially ones that cost over $7B.

The only other option is a privately-owned line that is not offered to the public and does not charge a rate.  End of story.

Brad, who must have fallen asleep in rate class, says there are different ways to generate revenues for a transmission project.  One is a merchant project.  Another is where other entities could buy a "non-divided interest" (Brad means undivided interest) in the project and own a dedicated portion of it.  However, the second method does not generate revenue through a rate.  It has no regulated rate.  It's just an ownership sale.  In order to recognize revenue from a third party, that owner would have to have a rate.  What's the difference between GBE owned by Invenergy and not having a rate and GBE owned by other parties and not having a rate?  Absolutely nothing!  There is no revenue.  And without revenue, GBE would be unable to repay the taxpayer loan from the DOE. 

Is DOE really this stupid about electric rates that they are buying this nonsense? 

But let's move on... to the long and winding story of how an electron generated in SW Kansas ends up back in Kansas.  Around minute 52:00 of the video, Brad gets a question about whether the energy on GBE will also be delivered to customers in Kansas.  The simple answer here is "no", but Brad so enjoys the sound of his own voice (and those annoying sucking sounds he uses to punctuate his sentences) that a simple "no" won't do.  Brad goes on for a full 5 minutes trying to help those electrons generated in SW Kansas get back to Kansas.

He says GBE brings power to substations and "markets" in Missouri owned by MISO and AECI, who are "served" by it.  Sorry, Brad, but as we know the only power injected into the grid in Missouri would have to be contracted with a buyer and a seller.  If there is no contract to purchase it, then it goes nowhere. What's more, GBE is a transmission line, not an electric generator.   Brad says that since all alternating current substations are connected to the grid, they all get GBE power because it's like dumping a 2500 MW bucket of electricity into the grid swimming pool.  But that's not how GBE works... it is only "dumped" in the amount it is purchased.  GBE is not dumping buckets of free electricity into the electric grid.  It's all being sold to a particular customer, or in the case of GBE, one customer for less than 5% of its transfer capacity.  Brad thinks that after GBE dumps free electricity into the MISO swimming pool, utilities in Kansas are draining the pool because it's all connected and power automatically goes where its needed.  So, Brad, the electric grid is just one big free pool of electricity?  We don't pay for what we use?  Brad claims "they" say they are seeing a need for the power in these areas.  What areas?  Kansas?  If Kansas sees a need for this power, then it would use it when it's generated in Kansas, not ship it to Missouri and hope some energetic little atoms swim home.  It would make no sense for a Kansas utility to buy power from GBE because the only access point is in eastern Missouri.  As a direct current line from SW Kansas to Eastern Missouri, there are no entrances or exits from Grain Belt Express until it gets to the converter station in Missouri.

Brad must have been hysterical near the end because he suggested that if any utilities in Kansas are a member of MJMEUC (it stands for Missouri Joint Municipal Electric Utility Commission, Brad, but has recently been re-named the easier to remember Missouri Electric Commission, or MEC) that they would receive Kansas power from Grain Belt Express through Invenergy's contract with MEC.  Brad acted like he understood that the "M" in the acronym stood for Missouri.  Missouri, Brad, Missouri!  It's membership is MISSOURI municipalities, not Kansans.

Thankfully, Brad ran down after 5 minutes of blithering idiot babbling and sucking.  But then he asked Invenergy's engineer Aaron White if he could add to that.  Aaron looked quite amused.  He should have passed.  But no, he proceeds to tell actual lies.  Aaron said that GBE could reverse flow and deliver power from Illinois and points east to Missouri and SW Kansas during an emergency.  Except it can't.  Well, technically it could, but it really can't because GBE has no permission to withdraw energy from Illinois or Missouri.  GBE can't just reverse the suction on its pool hose and black out Illinois or Missouri on a whim.  Only the grid operator could do that, and guess what?  GBE has not applied to withdraw power in Missouri.  Not sure about Illinois, but I seriously doubt it.  Also, let's consider that GBE has contracted customers or other owners who have bought a certain amount of capacity on the line.  It is up to the owners to use or sell that capacity when they aren't using it.  If a city in Illinois signs an agreement to purchase power from a wind farm in Ford County Kansas and that power is delivered on a dedicated portion of GBE, what would happen to that city in Illinois if GBE suddenly changed direction and started sucking electricity out of that city?  GBE won't control something it does not own.  Aaron is just a straight up liar.  GBE won't reverse direction unless it has withdrawal rights and the owners of its capacity resell it to someone else who wants to use it to ship power to Kansas.  Chances of that happening are slim to none.

I'm wondering with all this misinformation being belched out at "public meetings", what has the DOE Loans Program Office been told in private?  Are they being fed these lies, too?  Do they believe them?  LPO better sort this stuff out before loaning these liars my tax money.
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Bill Gates Comes Out Of The Closet

2/8/2023

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No, not *that* closet.  The closet where he's been hiding while pretending he's not influencing what passes for U.S. energy policy using his enormous wealth and connections.  We've all seen Mr. Know-It-All pretending to be expert on every facet of American life and dictating how we all live over the years.  Bill Gates is a techno-geek, not a doctor, economist, nuclear scientist or electrical engineer.  He should stay in his lane, but he never does.

You may be amazed to know that while still in high school, Gates wrote software for the entity that controls the power grid in the Northwest, therefore that makes him an expert on transmission planning.  I kid you not.  I wonder if the people of the Northwest knew some kid still in high school was in charge of their electricity like that?  My fabulist fee-fees are tingling.

At any rate, Gates says that renewables need to be built in rural areas and connected to the cities with new transmission.  Remember that... renewables only happen in rural areas.  Gates says that the reason we haven't tripled the number of high voltage power lines in this country is because we don't properly plan, pay for or permit transmission and he knows how to fix that, just like he's fixed all society's other problems over the past 30 years or so.  Blah, blah, blah, it's a virtual firestorm of blisteringly hot air from the world's biggest expert on everything and nothing all at the same time.  What Gates says isn't important.

However, when I peeled the Bill Gates onion two years ago, some thought is was a crazy conspiracy theory.  Of course it was all true.  I did the research myself.  Bill Gates seems to have been sitting in the cat bird seat directing U.S. energy policy for the past 2 years.  All his crackpot ideas are manifesting, with idiotic busy work on Transmission Siting and Economic Development Grants, and an Environmental Justice and Equity in Infrastructure Permitting Roundtable.  Our federal government is so very busy trying to gin up a smokescreen of feel good so that landowners facing eminent domain for a "clean energy" project will just inhale deeply and go quietly.  Are they insane?

Landowners will still object to having their property involuntarily taken from them.  That's the part that even Bill Gates' money can't solve.

And should we even let Bill Gates and his globalist pals anywhere near our energy system?  Think about it.
3 Comments

Urban Special Interest Groups Pretend to Represent Rural Landowners

12/23/2022

2 Comments

 
It takes real audacity to claim to speak for people you've never met, never talked with, and know absolutely nothing about.  But that never stopped a well-funded, urban, special interest group before.  They think they know everything about everything because they wish it to be so.

It's almost comical -- a bunch of urban special interest groups got together and wrote a letter to their oracle, Joe Biden, and told him what rural landowners affected by new transmission want.
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Now more than ever, we need strong environmental review and public engagement processes to avoid harming communities while effectively speeding up development of much-needed infrastructure to enable a rapid clean energy transition.
"Public engagement".  What does that mean?  Simply giving landowners "notice" and allowing them to blow off steam with "input" doesn't solve the problem.
A recent study from MIT concludes that a significant hurdle in developing clean energy infrastructure projects is local opposition --and early community engagement can avoid delays or cancellations. To address this major slow down and to ensure that our new transmission is developed in an equitable manner, we must work with the very communities that our infrastructure is supposed to serve and not against them.
But yet these special interest groups are working against rural landowners by creating some "public engagement" fantasy that did not "engage" the landowners in the first place.  Hypocrite much?

About that MIT study... it's pure garbage.  The study makes  up a completely unsupported conclusion for why certain transmission line projects studied were abandoned:
  1. Public Participation: Local residents (their legislative representatives and public agencies) oppose projects in which they believe their worries are not adequately being attended to by the developer.

These projects were stopped because of opposition.  There is no education deficit that can quell opposition by "adequately attending to worries."  The only thing that stops opposition is to stop bad projects.  Landowners impacted by new electric transmission towers and lines across their working land and adjacent to their homes aren't deterred from opposition by being told that their worries are unfounded.  That just makes the landowners even more angry and determined to stop the project.

The only thing that can end opposition to a transmission project is not to engage the landowners in the first instance.  If you don't site overhead transmission across private property, then landowner opposition never forms.  Planning new projects buried on existing highway or rail rights of way, or underwater, is a guarantee that no landowners are affected in the first place.

Of course, a bunch of special interests that live in the big cities and think they should be provided with "clean energy" produced elsewhere have absolutely no idea what people that live and work in rural areas want.  If the cities want "clean energy" then they need to find ways to produce it themselves.  Build a new nuclear power plant in your own city.  It is not the responsibility of rural America to provide for all your needs.  Self-sufficiency is highly valued in rural areas.  You should try it sometime because rural folks will continue to resist.
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The Fossil Fuel Phantom

12/5/2022

2 Comments

 
I laughed so loud when reading this op ed that it shot to the top of the blog pile.  Have you ever read a more ridiculous and contradictory notion?
Data shows the public, including communities hosting wind and solar projects, approve of renewables and want more of them.
But then...
Unfortunately, proposed wind and solar projects have faced an avalanche of local opposition in recent years...
If local folks love living in industrial energy generation facilities so much, why do they oppose them so vehemently?

It's the Fossil Fuel Phantom, of course!  Ya know how the "clean energy now" folks were so quick to accuse anyone who questioned their unicorn utopia of being on the fossil fuel payroll?  It used to be the Koch brothers purportedly sending me checks to think logical thoughts and give voice to them on the internet, but then they died.  So now the clean energy nutbags have invented a Fossil Fuel Phantom to take their place (and send me phantom checks).  This new entity is indeed a phantom because nobody can actually point to a real person or company who is responsible for these phantom payments.  It's just concocted out of thin air because "clean energy now" needs a boogy man to oppose its unicorn utopia ideas.  It goes like this:
Unfortunately, proposed wind and solar projects have faced an avalanche of local opposition in recent years, often based on misinformation or outright fallacies. Opposition groups, following a playbook organized by a fossil-funded think tank, spread fallacies about impacts to wildlife, property values, health, and more, sowing fear and anger.
All the "proof" of the existence of a Fossil Fuel Phantom is questionable in itself.  There is no proof.  Just a bunch of accusations and mysterious "associations" drawn where there is no actual evidence.
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So what's the unicorn solution?  "Permitting Reform."  They're really unclear about how this should go, but it might involve increased federal power to simply mow down local opposition and usurp permitting authority.  It may also include some phantom "fact checker" or truth police that would attempt to shape public opinion to believe only "clean energy" propaganda. 

How in the world is that supposed to fix things?  These folks live in a dream world, drunk on their own power.  Real people will continue to resist being forced into industrial energy generation installations.  The more "big government" tries to shut down their sharing of information, the deeper underground it goes.  They seem to forget that they are trying to perpetrate this on rural America, where local community information is shared at the grain elevator, not on Fakebook.  They seem to forget that rural Minnesota farmers carried out a legendary transmission opposition campaign in the 1970's using telephones, snail mail, and local meetings to communicate.  Nobody is afraid of the thought police.  The federal usurpation of local permitting is also not going to work.  It's just going to bog things down while the fight becomes about permitting in general, not actually building anything.  And it's probably not quite legal.  If "clean energy" wants to spend all its time and money in courtrooms, instead of building things, this is indeed the path forward.

However, the only thing that will work to speed up building "clean energy now" is to stop bothering people.  Stop trying to take what they worked for.  Stop trying to force your unicorn utopia on people who don't want it. 

Because they really don't.  Phantoms don't exist and most people don't believe in them.  Go build your crap somewhere else, like in the backyard of the dolt who wrote that op ed in Forbes.
2 Comments

Taxpayer Funded Astroturf

11/17/2022

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No, I'm not talking about fake grass.  I'm talking about the other kind of astroturf.
Astroturfing is the practice of masking the sponsors of a message or organization (e.g., political, advertising, religious or public relations) to make it appear as though it originates from and is supported by grassroots participants. It is a practice intended to give the statements or organizations credibility by withholding information about the source's financial connection. The term astroturfing is derived from AstroTurf, a brand of synthetic carpeting designed to resemble natural grass, as a play on the word "grassroots". The implication behind the use of the term is that instead of a "true" or "natural" grassroots effort behind the activity in question, there is a "fake" or "artificial" appearance of support.
Astroturfing has been used for decades to create artificial support for unpopular proposals or projects.  The energy industry loves it.  In the context of new electric transmission projects, utilities have deployed astroturfing to create "coalitions" of project supporters.  In exchange for labor and supply contracts, "donations" and other quid pro arrangements, unions, chambers of commerce, social and civic organizations, local businesses and others will sing the praises of the project in the media and at regulatory and other project meetings and hearings.  A group's enthusiastic participation in astroturfing is closely correlated to their proximity to the project.  The less impact the project has on the group/individual, the more likely they are to accept utility gifts to participate in astroturfing.

And now the federal government wants to get into the act and use your tax dollars to buy unaffected, fake "advocates" that are supposed to outweigh, outshout, and outrule your objections to the project on your land.

This rather long article says that up to 39 million acres are needed for new generation and transmission infrastructure in just 11 western states.  Just 11 states, out of 50!  It goes on to opine about how our government will attempt to take control of that much privately-owned land. 
“Local community opposition is real and will likely continue to make siting and permitting a challenge,” but might be addressable, said University of Notre Dame Associate Professor of Sustainable Energy Policy Emily Grubert, who has worked with federal agencies on related issues.

To earn a community’s trust, development proposals “should explain why a project is needed, why the community’s resources are needed, and how the community can benefit,” Grubert said. They should also “assure the community its concerns have been heard and it will be protected,” she added.

DOE’s formal Community Benefits Agreements, which are used for new infrastructure development and stipulate the benefits a developer will deliver for the community, “could also have a powerful impact on streamlining siting and permitting,” Grubert said.

“No project should go ahead without a Community Benefit Agreement to assure real benefits for the host community,” agreed NRDC’s Greene. But in many places, “political polarization has turned reasonable project development questions into obstructive, misinformation campaigns,” Greene said. “Overcoming that will take a lot of work,” he added.
Community Benefit Agreement?  What's that?  Little did you know that your federal government has been busy adapting tired, old utility astroturfing tactics as a new plan to silence you so it can build infrastructure on your land and tell the world that you "benefited" from it.

According to the DOE's Community Benefit Agreement (CBA) Toolkit, the federal government is getting involved in spreading propaganda and paying off certain "community" groups in exchange for their support of a project that only tangentially affects them but is hotly opposed in a community.  What groups does DOE propose could negotiate these agreements?
neighborhood associations, faith-based organizations, unions, environmental groups and others representing the interests of a community that will be impacted by development(s).
I don't see landowners on this list, although the landowners whose land is taken from them using eminent domain are the only group that is sacrificing something tangible to enable new energy projects.  Landowners are also the force behind transmission opposition groups.

Instead, DOE advises that communities should consider any threatening infrastructure project as an opportunity that requires the formation of an organization to take advantage of CBA payouts.  There are no requirements that the signatories to CBAs actually have to sacrifice anything at all.  Just be willing to advocate for an infrastructure project that is impacting another group or individual.
A CBA is an agreement signed by community benefit groups and a developer, identifying the community benefits a developer agrees to deliver, in return for community support of the project.
Here's a list of the things the opportunistic community "groups" should do to attract a CBA
1.  Research development proposals in their region to identify any that have the potential to offer benefits to the residents they will be operating near;
2. 
Organize a broad-based coalition of community interests and recruit stakeholder organizations;
3. 
Hold public meetings and maximize turnout with help from local leaders; and
4. 
Engage the developer with sustainable community objectives, via open dialogue as well as transparency.
But how do these unaffected community opportunists guarantee the "support" of the entire community?  They can't!  And the more eager they are to cooperate with developers, the less support they are going to get from the community at large. 

Transmission developer astroturf groups have been spectacular flops over the years.  At best, astroturf groups have amused intervenors and regulators alike with their clueless comments about how much we "need" this (or sometimes the wrong) project.  At worst, astroturf groups have visited public scorn, boycotts, and flooded phone lines on community businesses who turn on their neighbors to become project advocates.  Deployment of utility astroturf destroys trust and hurts communities, instead of helping them.  Going back to that wordy Utility Dive article:
“People, especially in smaller communities, can get very passionate, and even exchange death threats, which shows how important and undervalued trust is,” Grubert agreed.
I really hope the death threats part is exaggerated.  I've never seen that happen before, however I've also never seen the federal government get involved in what can only be called astroturfing before.  If someone is injured because the federal government has been chumming for sharks in your community, who is liable? 

The bottom line is that this plan has never worked for utilities.  It is quickly outed as a fake and the ones participating back slowly away in the face of community anger over their mutiny.  Let's think for a moment about the kinds of entities who shall act at the "groups" that sign CBAs.  Neighborhood associations have enough to do without spending time looking for "opportunities" to throw their neighbors under the bus.  Faith-based organizations (aka churches, even if saying it is no longer politically correct for some reason) are not going to get involved in such a divisive community issue.  Love thy neighbor, not stab him in the back.  Unions don't live in the community.  My experience with union advocates is that they ship in busloads of members from distant cities, hardly convincing for people who actually live there.  Environmental groups... they're always looking for a free lunch, but again, not from your community.

This plan will never work.  The ones actually impacted by the project aren't going to be distracted by a handful of colorful beads, and they aren't going to be intimidated by opportunistic sellouts.

Here's how the federal government *thinks* it's going to work:
[community] support would raise the probability of state or local government approvals for zoning variances, state permits, and other regulatory approvals.
That's the same reason transmission developers have used astroturf in the past, although it has rarely worked out to their advantage.

Our federal government is engaging in taxpayer funded astroturf.  Be on the lookout for opportunists in your own community!
1 Comment

The Two Biggest Clean Energy Lies

11/16/2022

2 Comments

 
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Gaslighting is one of today's most popular political buzzwords.  It means to manipulate someone by psychological means into questioning their own sanity.  Unfortunately, most of the clueless babies that use it incessantly have no idea what it really means, although many of them may be quite insane.

The environmental movement, which may have been a good thing 50 years ago, has grown into an entitled brat that lies constantly.  In this blog, we're going to examine the two biggest lies the "clean energy" brat tells you.  While it doesn't make me question my sanity, it can make your logic center feel like you've just eaten a bad  mushroom.

Clean Energy fills up its gas tank like this.
This summer, the Midwest faced a heightened risk of blackouts due to a supply shortfall that could’ve been filled if only a fraction of the projects stuck in limbo had been online.   Luckily, we made it through the summer without major incident, but no one should be complacent—new supply is urgently needed. Fossil fuel dead-enders complain that we’re shutting down dirty power plants too quickly. In reality, the clean energy to replace them is ready and waiting, stuck in utility bureaucracy.
Lie number one:  All the renewable energy projects waiting in regional transmission interconnection queues will deliver 24/7 at their nameplate capacity.

Nameplate capacity is the amount of energy a generator could produce if it produced at its maximum capacity.  No generator produces its nameplate capacity all the time, however, some generators are better at it than others.  Fossil fuel and nuclear generators run very close to their nameplate capacity, only being forced to shut down for repairs or maintenance.  Renewable generators, on the other hand, can only produce electricity when their fuel is available.  It's never 100% of the time.  In fact capacity factors for wind and solar average 36%, and 24.5%, respectively.  That means that wind and solar only produce their maximum capacity one quarter to one third of the time they operate.  So, even if we thought we could add 13,000 gigawatts of renewables to the grid if all interconnection requests were granted by magic today, the reality is that less than a third of that capacity would actually produce electricity.

Lie number two:  We need to build more renewables and transmission to shore up reliability.

If you want to increase reliability, you need generators that can run when called.  That means when needed, not when there is fuel available.  You cannot count on a wind turbine or solar panel to produce power at the exact moment you need it.  Storage is not yet mature enough to provide more than a brief backup.  Adding renewables will not increase reliability. 

We ARE shutting down "dirty" power plants too quickly... much quicker than renewables can backstop.  And this  creates a problem for the unicorn utopia idea that supposes that an area where renewables fail to produce enough energy to meet demand can simply "borrow" extra electricity from the renewables of another area.  What happens when those renewables are also failing to produce?  Pass the buck until you find an area with excess power.  But when all the "dirty" power plants have closed, there will be nothing but endless buck passing while you shiver in the dark eating your healthy government-issued insect protein.

The reliability crisis has been created by too many government-subsidized, unreliable renewables that put financial pressure on reliable "dirty" power plants to close.  More unreliable renewables and less reliable "dirty" power plants equals unreliable power.  Adding more unreliable sources of power isn't going to fix that.

If that doesn't sound logical to you, you may be insane.
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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